Dec 2016
For more than the past century Iraq has been a place of contradictions and frequent turmoil. A desert country that was part of the fertile crescent, a country of fiercely independent tribes with a compulsion for centralisation and a state of three very different confessional communities.
The past 30 years have also seen the destruction of the Iran-Iraq war, the two Gulf wars and an ongoing insurgency that continues to evolve. While the material effect of these has been easy to see, what is often not appreciated is how devastating these events have been to the social and community structures of the country.
Oil will play the key part in Iraq’s progress for the forseeable future. Social and structural development programmes were predicated upon a healthy price for crude, the income currently generated is nowhere near that figure, and there is also the added challenge of having an existential war to resource. No only does th price affect the economy, in a Catch-22 type situation, it also affects the ability to rehabilitate the infrastructure necessary to enable sustained output. The low margin also affects the ability to build new infrastructure and increase production. There is a serious need for new refinery capacity. The news on the oil and gas front is not all bad. There are now serious efforts, mainly with Shell, to capture the huge quantities of gas that were previously flared, across the Southern oilfield. Also, there are new fields being looked at closer to Baghdad.
The other major challenge remains the war with Da’esh and dealing with its effects. The amount of internally displaced people now runs into the millions. This number is predicted by the UN to increase as the campaign to clear Mosul continues. Both the Government of Iraq and the many aid agencies are stretched to the limit.
At the same time, we have an extremely volatile political situation. All the key ministries are in some state of turmoil, not a good situation in themiddle of a war. Also, Iraq continues to suffer from the meddling of some of its neighbours, and their proxies, which has been the case since the days of the Ottoman Emplire.
So, Iraq is at one of the most challenging ties in its history, yet it has an amazing history. IT is certainly a country with challenges and not for the faint hearted. It is very much open for business and enable business is what we do.